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Polar Systems in Transition

Observations, models and impacts of rapid change in the Arctic and Antarctic, from ice-sheet stability to atmospheric teleconnections.

Open for submissionsSubmission deadline: 30 September 2026Hosted by Journal of Climate & Earth Systems
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Articles in this collection

Original Research

Quantifying feedback pathways in accelerated Arctic sea-ice thinning, 1995–2024

Elena Varga, Rafael Moreno

Arctic sea ice has thinned substantially over the past three decades, yet the relative contributions of individual feedback processes remain debated. We combine a 30-year record of satellite altimetry with an ensemble of coupled model simulations to partition thinning into albedo, cloud and ocean heat transport contributions. Our results indicate that ocean heat convergence explains a larger share of winter thinning than previously estimated, while surface albedo feedback dominates summer losses. These findings refine projections of seasonally ice-free conditions and highlight observational gaps in the Atlantic sector.

Brief Report

Orographic modulation of aerosol–cloud interactions in the subtropical Andes

Rafael Moreno

Mountain terrain strongly modulates cloud microphysics, complicating estimates of aerosol radiative forcing. Combining aircraft observations with large-eddy simulations, we show that orographic lifting enhances droplet activation sensitivity to aerosol loading by up to 40% relative to adjacent plains.