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Original Research

Frontiers in Water ·

Volume 8 - 2026 | https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2026.1921076

Prediction of flow maldistribution in 3D-printed water-flow distributors for thermal-fluid system design

  • Nibras M. Mahdi1
  • Jenan S. Sherza1
  • Zainab T. Al-Sharify2
  • Amar S. Abdul-Zahra1
  • Luttfi A. Al-Haddad1*corresponding author
  • Ahmed Ali Farhan Ogaili2
  1. 1College of Mechanical Engineering, University of Technology- Iraq, Baghdad, Iraq
  2. 2College of Engineering, Al-Mustansiriyah University, Baghdad, Iraq
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Abstract

Flow distributors are important components in water-flow and compact thermal-fluid systems because non-uniform flow division among parallel channels can disturb pressure balance and convective heat-transfer stability. However, evaluating distributor performance through repeated experimental trials and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations can be time-consuming during early-stage design. This work develops an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-assisted framework for predicting and classifying flow maldistribution in 3D-printed water-flow distributors using combined experimental and CFD-supported data. The dataset was obtained from water-flow measurements of rectangular distributors, conical distributors with an obstacle, and conical distributors without obstacle, while the CFD-supported dataset included Volume of Fluid (VOF) and single-phase flow results for selected conical configurations. Distributor family, height, flow rate, data source, and simulation method were used as input variables, while the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, was used as the prediction target. An Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) regression model was developed to estimate Φ, and a classification layer was used to assign maldistribution severity levels. The model achieved coefficient of determination (R 2) = 0.962, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) = 0.126, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 0.161, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) = 4.87%, and Coefficient of Variation of Root Mean Square Error (CVRMSE) = 6.12%. The model achieved accuracy = 92.22%, precision = 92.90%, recall = 92.22%, and F1-score = 92.36%. The results showed that conical distributors generally produced lower maldistribution than rectangular distributors, while the AI model accurately captured both numerical Φ behavior and severity trends. The framework provides a tool to screen distributor designs and support CFD-guided water-flow and thermal-fluid system development.

Keywords

1 Introduction

Water-flow distribution is a central design requirement in compact hydraulic and thermal-fluid systems, especially when a single inlet stream must be divided among several parallel channels (O'Malley et al., 2026; Xu and Wang, 2026). In such systems, distributor geometry affects flow sharing, pressure balance, and the stability of downstream thermal performance. Poor distribution can generate localized flow starvation or excessive flow concentration, which may reduce heat-transfer uniformity, create uneven cooling or heating behavior, and limit the reliability of water-based engineering devices (Rahman and Bénard, 2026b,a). Therefore, accurate evaluation of flow maldistribution is important from a hydraulic perspective, and also from a thermal engineering viewpoint, because uniform water delivery is a prerequisite for stable convective heat transfer in compact cooling plates, heat exchangers, and parallel-channel thermal-fluid systems (Alsharif et al., 2026; Pasa et al., 2026; Serafeim et al., 2026). Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) has become an important tool to investigate flow-distribution performance; however, repeated CFD simulations for multiple geometries and operating conditions require considerable setup time, meshing effort, and computational cost during early-stage design (Alkhateeb and Lyulin, 2026; Chen et al., 2026; Issakhov et al., 2026; Jun et al., 2026; Tony and Khan, 2026).

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an important computational tool with applications in a wide range of scientific and engineering fields, providing a scalable solution for solving problems that involve complex prediction, optimization and decision making (Al-Haddad et al., 2025b; Fadhil et al., 2025; Hadi Fadhil et al., 2025; Jweri et al., 2025; Khan et al., 2025; Nassir et al., 2026). AI encompasses many computational paradigms that can mimic intelligent behavior, including rule-based reasoning, evolutionary optimization, and data-driven modeling approaches (Al-Haddad and Jaber, 2022; Abdalla et al., 2026; Khan et al., 2026). One of the most important aspects of AI is machine learning (ML), which has the ability to discover hidden patterns and operational boundaries that are not linear from the data itself without having to be codified for every specific condition (Alawee et al., 2024; Al-Haddad et al., 2024c,a). For this reason, AI- and statistical ML-based methods have been used in a number of applications such as engineering systems (Al-Haddad et al., 2024d), healthcare, energy management, autonomous platforms (Jaber and Al-Haddad, 2024; Adaika et al., 2025; Al-Haddad et al., 2025a; Kurdi et al., 2026), and industrial process optimization (Al-Haddad et al., 2024b; Abdulameer et al., 2025; Hussein et al., 2025; Kurdi and Al-Haddad, 2026), with success.

The application of AI to the field of water engineering and fluid mechanics is growing, with the aim of predicting flow more quickly, reducing computational demands, and gaining a better understanding of the highly complex flow phenomena (Alenezi and Alabaiadly, 2026; Kiu et al., 2026). ML is a potential surrogate or reduced-order model that can be trained using numerical simulations, experimental measurements, or a combination of the two, and can then be used to quickly estimate key hydraulic and thermal-fluid quantities in the context of CFD-oriented workflows. These AI-driven solutions are particularly useful for water-related applications where design choices are frequently evaluated across various operating conditions for flow rate, pressure drop, flow uniformity, and heat-transfer performance. ML can support the engineer in screening alternative designs, identifying influential variables, decreasing the number of costly simulations/experiments, and progressing to better thermal-fluid design procedures with digital and data.

Recent research gives a clear trend in using CFD, experimental measurements and machine-learning models to speed up the flow maldistribution and thermal-fluid analyses. The reviewed works are related to mini-channel and microchannel heat exchangers, parallel-channel systems, solar air heaters, dimpled tubes and plate heat exchangers, nanofluid microchannel and related compact thermal-fluid devices. In the aforementioned studies, hydraulic resistance, heat-transfer coefficient, flow instability, temperature distribution and flow non-uniformity have been predicted with the support of AI models like neural networks, XGBoost, LSTM, and hybrid optimization techniques. The contributions further demonstrate the increasing importance of AI as a surrogate and decision support tool, and also indicate that there are fewer studies directly or explicitly studying experimentally measured water-flow maldistribution in 3D-printed distributor systems. This brief overview of these recent CFD-AI and ML studies is summarized in Table 1.

Table 1. Summary of recent CFD-AI studies on flow maldistribution and thermal-fluid performance prediction.

ReferencesApproachKey findingLimitation
Liu et al. (2026)BPNN coupled with a spatial thermal resistance network.Demonstrated that flow and heat-transfer maldistribution are coupled, and that neglecting heat-transfer effects can overestimate flow maldistribution by about 20% at fixed Reynolds number and more than 50% under turbulences.The study focused on supercritical CO2 mini-channel heat exchangers, so the model formulation and correlations may not directly transfer to water-flow distributors or 3D-printed manifold systems.
Gönül et al. (2026)Comparative ML modeling of CFD-generated microchannel data.Support vector regression achieved the best Nusselt number prediction with test R2 = 0.9970, while XGBoost achieved the best friction-factor prediction with test R2 = 0.9972; SHAP analysis confirmed physically consistent feature effects.The dataset was generated from numerical simulations rather than experimental water-flow measurements, and the outputs focused on heat-transfer and friction parameters rather than direct flow non-uniformity.
Qiao et al. (2024)ML response surface with NSGA-II and TOPSIS optimization.The optimized design reduced flow non-uniformity by 93.39%, while pressure drop increased by only 32.67%, showing the value of ML-assisted optimization for balancing flow distribution and hydraulic resistance.The work was specific to printed circuit heat exchangers and relied on a simulation-based design space, with limited direct applicability to experimentally measured 3D-printed water-flow distributors.
Gammaidoni et al. (2026)Physics-informed neural networks for microchannel flow and heat transfer.The geometry-parameterized PINN reproduced pressure loss and outlet temperature over a continuous range of aspect ratios and became more efficient than repeated CFD after approximately 21 geometrical configurations.Three-dimensional PINN reliability depended strongly on architecture, sampling strategy, and model-selection criteria, making implementation more complex than conventional supervised ML models.
Peng et al. (2026)GA-optimized KNN classification for parallel-channel instability.The intelligent classification framework achieved 99.19% overall accuracy and showed that spatial non-uniformity of heat-load distribution strongly affects instability behavior in parallel channels.The study addressed flow instability classification rather than regression-based prediction of flow maldistribution coefficients, and it was not centered on distributor geometry optimization.
Alatawi (2025)CFD-ML analysis of ribbed solar air heaters.CFD identified favorable rib geometry ratios, and the CNN model achieved R2 = 0.96 in predicting heat-transfer coefficients, demonstrating the usefulness of CFD-ML coupling for thermal design.The application was solar air heating not water-flow distribution, and the prediction target was heat-transfer coefficient rather than flow uniformity or maldistribution.
Abtahi Mehrjardi et al. (2025)GAN-assisted CFD optimization of dimpled tubes.AI-assisted CFD optimization produced design results with a maximum deviation of 15.49% from CFD-only optimization and reduced computational effort for thermal-fluid design.The dataset was small and CFD-based, and the method was applied to dimpled heat-transfer tubes rather than flow distributors or water-sector manifold systems.
Ahmed et al. (2026)LSTM and RSM modeling of plate heat-exchanger experiments.The LSTM model achieved R2 = 0.99 and showed strong capability for predicting heat-exchanger behavior under variable flow-rate and temperature conditions.The study focused on global heat-exchanger performance and did not investigate local flow maldistribution or distributor-induced non-uniformity.
Qian et al. (2026)BP neural network with NSGA-II design optimization.The configuration reduced peak temperature and flow differences by 6.6% and increased conversion and output performance by about 7%, showing that ML can support coupled flow-thermal optimization.The application was reactor-oriented and involved process-specific performance indicators, limiting direct relevance to water-sector distributor design and flow-uniformity prediction.
Alkahtani et al. (2026)Physics-informed neural network for nanofluid microchannels.The model achieved R2 = 0.96, high physics-consistency feasibility, and rapid inference, supporting physics-informed learning for fast thermal-fluid design screening.The data were compiled from a heterogeneous repository with limited case-level traceability, and the framework requires further controlled experimental validation.
Shanmugam and Maganti (2024)ML prediction of microchannel heat-sink thermal responses.XGBoost achieved strong overall predictive accuracy with an average R2 of 0.98 across six thermal response variables, confirming its suitability for non-linear thermal-fluid prediction.The study focused on thermal response variables under heat loading rather than hydraulic flow-distribution coefficients in 3D-printed water-flow distributors.

Based on the limitations identified in the reviewed studies, particularly the limited focus on experimentally measured water-flow maldistribution in 3D-printed distributor systems and the lack of combined regression-classification decision frameworks for thermal-fluid design, the present study introduces the following novelties:

  • Development of an AI-assisted surrogate model for experimentally measured water-flow maldistribution. The work also uses experimental water-flow data from 3D-printed distributors to predict the non-uniformity flow coefficient, providing a direct data-driven tool for distributor performance evaluation.
  • Integration of XGBoost regression with maldistribution severity classification: The study estimates the numerical value of the non-uniformity flow coefficient; and also classifies distributor performance into practical maldistribution levels to support both quantitative prediction and engineering decision-making during early-stage design.
  • Thermal-fluid interpretation of water-flow distributor performance: The predicted maldistribution behavior is discussed from a thermal engineering perspective, linking flow non-uniformity to heat-transfer imbalance, residence-time variation, and reduced reliability in compact water-based thermal-fluid systems.
  • The study incorporates an unseen-data validation step to examine the generalizability of the proposed AI surrogate model beyond the training stage and to strengthen its reliability for practical distributor-performance assessment.

The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the experimental and CFD-related dataset, Section 3 presents the machine-learning framework in both classification and regression, Section 4 discusses the prediction and classification results, and Section 5 concludes the study.

2 Experimental-simulation work

The present work uses a combined experimental-simulation dataset to support the development of an AI-based prediction framework for water-flow maldistribution in 3D-printed flow distributors. The experimental dataset was obtained from Mendonça Lopes et al. (2019), who reported measured non-uniformity flow coefficients for 3D-printed water-flow distributors tested under different operating flow rates. The simulation-related dataset was obtained from Lopes et al. (2018), where CFD results were used to analyze distributor behavior and compare numerical predictions with experimental measurements. Therefore, the dataset used in this study combines direct experimental measurements with CFD-supported flow-uniformity information, allowing the machine-learning model to be trained and evaluated in a way that reflects both real water-flow behavior and simulation-based thermal-fluid analysis.

Table 2 summarizes the data structure adopted in this study. The experimental part provides the primary measured Φ values for several 3D-printed distributor configurations, while the simulation-supported part adds CFD-based comparison information for selected conical distributor cases. The inclusion of both data types is important because the experimental values represent actual water-flow behavior, whereas the CFD-supported values provide numerical insight into the same maldistribution problem under controlled modeling conditions. This structure allows the AI model to be evaluated not only as a regression tool for predicting Φ, but also as a decision-support method for comparing experimental, CFD, and AI-estimated flow-uniformity behavior in water-flow and thermal-fluid distributor design.

Table 2. Summary of the experimental and CFD-supported datasets used for AI-based flow-maldistribution prediction.

Dataset sourceData typeDistributor configurationsFlow-rate rangeMain variable usedRole in this study
Mendonça Lopes et al. (2019)Experimental water-flow measurementsRD13, RD26, RD52, CDO26, CD13, CD52100–400 mL min−1Non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ (%)Main experimental dataset for regression and severity classification
Mendonça Lopes et al. (2019)Averaged experimental reference dataCDO13, CDO52, CD26, CD13, CDO26, CD52, RD26, RD52, RD13Flow rates above 100 mL min−1Average Φ (%) ± deviationUsed as reference information for comparing distributor performance
Lopes et al. (2018)CFD-supported comparison dataCDO13, CDO52, CD26100–400 mL min−1Experimental, VOF, and SF Φ (%)Used to compare experimental, CFD, and AI-based maldistribution prediction
Combined prepared datasetAI-ready regression and classification dataExperimental and CFD-supported configurations100–400 mL min−1Φ (%) and severity classUsed for XGBoost regression and maldistribution severity classification

Table 3 defines the distributor configuration codes used in the experimental, CFD-supported, and AI-ready datasets, where each code combines the distributor family and its corresponding height.

Table 3. Description of distributor configuration codes used in the experimental-simulation dataset.

Configuration codeDistributor familyGeometry descriptionHeight, H (mm)Obstacle conditionDataset role
RD13Rectangular distributorRectangular manifold-type distributor13Without obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference
RD26Rectangular distributorRectangular manifold-type distributor26Without obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference
RD52Rectangular distributorRectangular manifold-type distributor52Without obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference
CDO13Conical distributor with obstacleConical distributor including an internal obstacle13With obstacleAveraged reference and CFD-supported comparison
CDO26Conical distributor with obstacleConical distributor including an internal obstacle26With obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference
CDO52Conical distributor with obstacleConical distributor including an internal obstacle52With obstacleAveraged reference and CFD-supported comparison
CD13Conical distributor without obstacleSmooth conical distributor without internal obstacle13Without obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference
CD26Conical distributor without obstacleSmooth conical distributor without internal obstacle26Without obstacleAveraged reference and CFD-supported comparison
CD52Conical distributor without obstacleSmooth conical distributor without internal obstacle52Without obstacleExperimental Φ data and averaged reference

The overall methodology for building the combined dataset for this study is shown in Figure 1. As illustrated in the figure, the three families of 3D-printed distributors, that is, the rectangular distributor (RD), the conical distributor with obstacle (CDO), and the conical distributor without obstacle (CD) all at heights of 13, 26 and 52 mm, are considered as starting points for the workflow. The experimental water-flow procedure and the CFD simulation pathway are then summarized and provide the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, and its design and operating parameters. Finally, these data are compiled into an AI-ready data set of distributor family, height, and flow rate along with the data source, to allow experimental, CFD, and AI-predicted flow maldistribution to be compared, as shown in Figure 1.

**(a–d)** Experimental-simulation dataset methodology for 3D-printed flow distributors.
Figure 1. (a–d) Experimental-simulation dataset methodology for 3D-printed flow distributors.

3 Machine learning

Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) was adopted in this study because it is well suited for small-to-medium structured datasets and can capture non-linear relationships between geometric, operating, and source-related variables. Before its final adoption, XGBoost was compared with other machine-learning models, and it achieved the best overall performance in terms of prediction accuracy, error reduction, and classification stability. XGBoost is an ensemble tree-based learning algorithm in which several weak decision-tree learners are sequentially combined to improve prediction accuracy while controlling overfitting through regularization. For the regression task, the model predicts the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, as a continuous thermal-fluid response based on the distributor family, height, flow rate, and data source. The XGBoost regression model can be expressed as follows in Equations 1, 2:

Φi=f1(xi)+f2(xi)+f3(xi)+…+fk(xi)(1)

or simply:

Φi=Σfk(xi),fromk=1toK(2)

where Φ**i** is the predicted non-uniformity flow coefficient for sample i, x**i** is the input feature vector, K is the total number of regression trees, and f**k** represents the prediction contribution of the k th decision tree. For the classification task, the predicted or measured Φ value was converted into a maldistribution severity class to support practical engineering interpretation, as follows in Equations 3–6:

Ci=Low,ifΦi≤1%(3)

Ci=Moderate,if1%<Φi≤5%(4)

Ci=High,if5%<Φi≤10%(5)

Ci=Severe,ifΦi>10%(6)

where C*i* denotes the maldistribution severity class of sample i. This combined regression-classification structure enables the model to provide both numerical prediction of flow non-uniformity and direct engineering categorization of distributor performance. Figure 2 illustrates the two XGBoost workflows used in this study, where regression predicts a continuous non-uniformity coefficient while classification converts the predicted output into a discrete maldistribution severity level.

**(a, b)** XGBoost workflows for regression and classification modeling.
Figure 2. (a, b) XGBoost workflows for regression and classification modeling.

For the classification task, the measured non-uniformity coefficient, Φ, was first used to assign each observation a reference maldistribution severity label according to the predefined thresholds: Low for Φ ≤ 1%, Moderate for 1% <Φ ≤ 5%, High for 5% <Φ ≤ 10%, and Severe for Φ > 10%. These labels were then used as the target classes for a separate multiclass XGBoost classifier with the multi:softprob objective. Unlike the regression model, which predicts Φ as a continuous variable, the classification model predicts the severity class directly from the input features. Therefore, the classification results reported were obtained from the dedicated XGBoost classifier and were not generated by thresholding the regression predictions. These severity boundaries were introduced in the present study as pragmatic engineering classification thresholds to convert the continuous Φ response into interpretable performance categories; they were not adopted from a specific international standard, and their purpose is to distinguish near-uniform flow (≤ 1%), mild-to-moderate maldistribution (1–5%), pronounced maldistribution (5–10%), and severe maldistribution (>10%) for comparative model evaluation.

Table 4 presents the XGBoost hyperparameters adopted for both regression and classification tasks. Because the available experimental-simulation dataset is limited, conservative settings were selected to reduce overfitting, including 50 estimators, a maximum tree depth of 2, a learning rate of 0.05, and regularization through gamma, alpha, and lambda values. The same sampling ratios and random state were used for both models to ensure consistent comparison, while the evaluation metrics were selected according to the output type: continuous Φ prediction for regression and maldistribution severity prediction for classification, as summarized in Table 4.

Table 4. XGBoost hyperparameters used for regression and classification models.

ParameterXGBoost regressionXGBoost classification
Model objectivereg:squarederrormulti:softprob
Number of estimators5050
Maximum tree depth22
Learning rate0.050.05
Subsample ratio0.800.80
Column sample by tree0.800.80
Minimum child weight11
Gamma0.100.10
L1 regularization, alpha0.010.01
L2 regularization, lambda1.001.00
Evaluation metricRMSE, MAE, R2Accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score
Validation approachFull-dataset model assessment with separate unseen-data validationFull-dataset model assessment with separate unseen-data validation
Random state4242
Output variableNon-uniformity coefficient, Φ (%)Maldistribution severity class

The available 90-sample dataset was used as the model-development dataset for fitting the XGBoost regression and classification models. Accordingly, the regression and classification results obtained from these samples were treated as overall in-sample model-performance assessments rather than holdout test results. The complete dataset was retained at this stage because of its limited size and the small number of observations in some severity classes. To independently examine predictive generalizability, an additional unseen validation dataset that was not included during model fitting was subsequently evaluated using the trained model. Thus, the study distinguishes between model-development performance on the complete available dataset and independent predictive validation on previously unseen samples.

4 Results and discussion

4.1 Experimental-simulation results

The objective of this section is to establish the experimental-CFD baseline of the study by comparing the flow-maldistribution behavior of the different distributor configurations and by examining the consistency between measured and CFD-supported results before applying the machine-learning models.

The experimental-simulation results are first examined to clarify the hydraulic behavior of the distributor configurations before introducing the AI-based prediction stage. Figure 3 summarizes the experimental flow-maldistribution trends, where Figure 3a compares the variation of the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, with flow rate, while Figure 3b ranks the average Φ values of the distributor configurations. As shown in Figure 3a, RD13 produced the highest maldistribution at low flow rate, with Φ = 34.22% at 100 mL min−1, then decreased to 17.48% at 200 mL min−1, 11.80% at 240 mL min−1, 4.46% at 300 mL min−1, 5.40% at 340 mL min−1, and 2.04% at 400 mL min−1. RD52 also showed relatively high non-uniformity, decreasing from 13.96% at 100 mL min−1 to 5.94%, 6.64%, 4.37%, 2.01%, and 3.32% as the flow rate increased from 200 to 400 mL min−1. In contrast, the conical configurations generally remained much more uniform; for example, CDO26 varied only between 0.94% and 2.13%, while CD13 remained between 0.63% and 2.30% across the tested flow rates. Figure 3b further confirms this ranking, where the lowest average Φ values were obtained by CDO13, CDO52, and CD26, with 0.839 ± 0.418%, 0.858 ± 0.308%, and 0.970 ± 0.113%, respectively. The rectangular distributors showed poorer average behavior, particularly RD26, RD52, and RD13, with average Φ values of 2.650 ± 1.043%, 4.458 ± 1.686%, and 8.236 ± 5.636%, respectively. These results indicate that conical distributor geometries provide more stable flow sharing than rectangular configurations, which is important for thermal-fluid systems because reduced hydraulic maldistribution supports more uniform convective heat-transfer conditions and more reliable water-flow distribution.

Experimental flow-maldistribution behavior of distributors: **(a)** non-uniformity flow coefficient vs. flow rate for six distributor configurations; **(b)** averaged non-uniformity flow coefficient with deviation for nine distributor configurations.
Figure 3. Experimental flow-maldistribution behavior of distributors: (a) non-uniformity flow coefficient vs. flow rate for six distributor configurations; (b) averaged non-uniformity flow coefficient with deviation for nine distributor configurations.

Figure 4 shows the flow-maldistribution behavior obtained from the CFD analysis for the various distributors considered and compares it with the average experimental values. The predicted maldistribution by the CFD-only results presented in Figure 4a indicates that CDO52-VOF resulted in the highest maldistribution of the results at 100 mL min−1, followed by a dramatic decrease at 200 mL min−1 and slight increase at 400 mL min−1. CD26-VOF also showed a high low-flow value of about 2.80% at 100 mL min−1, followed by 1.15% at 200 mL min−1 and a nearly stable range of 1.28–1.43% from 240 to 400 mL min−1. For CDO13-VOF, Φ decreased from about 1.60% at 100 mL min−1 to 0.40% at 200 mL min−1, then increased slightly to 0.75% at 400 mL min−1. For the SF results, the overall trend was less pronounced; for the former, CDO13-SF stayed in the range 0.20% to 0.45% while for the latter, CDO52-SF ranged from about 0.35% to 0.85% and CD26-SF from about 0.50% to 1.32% over the same range of flow-rates. The averaged values of each model for each case are also compared in Figure 4b, where the average value of the experimental case of CDO13 is 1.65% while the average values for the cases of CFD-VOF and CFD-SF are 0.70% and 0.38%, respectively. The averages of the experimental and VOF were quite similar for CDO52, the value being 1.98% and 1.92%, respectively, while for SF the value was lower, 0.73%. Experimental values for CD26 were 1.15%, for CFD-VOF there was a jump to 1.58% while CFD-SF was fairly close to the experiment at 1.10%. It is noted that CDO52 had a strong low-flow maldistribution, which is better represented by the VOF approach than the SF approach, which results in smoother and generally lower predictions of Φ, further highlighting the need to compare water-flow distributor performance from experimental, CFD and AI-based approaches.

CFD-supported and experimental-simulation comparison of selected distributor configurations: **(a)** CFD-predicted non-uniformity flow coefficient using VOF and SF approaches; **(b)** average experimental, CFD-VOF, and CFD-SF non-uniformity coefficients for CDO13, CDO52, and CD26.
Figure 4. CFD-supported and experimental-simulation comparison of selected distributor configurations: (a) CFD-predicted non-uniformity flow coefficient using VOF and SF approaches; (b) average experimental, CFD-VOF, and CFD-SF non-uniformity coefficients for CDO13, CDO52, and CD26.

Figure 5 shows that most samples fall within the Low and Moderate maldistribution classes, with the experimental dataset containing 16 Low, 28 Moderate, 6 High, and 4 Severe samples, while CFD-VOF includes 10 Low, 7 Moderate, 1 High, and 0 Severe samples, and CFD-SF includes 13 Low, 5 Moderate, 0 High, and 0 Severe samples. This indicates that the CFD-supported data, especially the SF results, generally predicts smoother and less severe maldistribution than the experimental measurements. Figure 6 further clarifies where the strongest non-uniformity occurs, showing that RD13 at 100 mL min−1 produced the maximum Φ value of 34.22%, followed by RD13 at 200 mL min−1 with 17.48%, RD52 at 100 mL min−1 with 13.96%, and RD13 at 240 mL min−1 with 11.80%. In contrast, several conical configurations maintained much lower Φ values, such as CDO13 = 0.45–0.84% from 200 to 400 mL min−1, CDO52 = 0.79–0.97% from 200 to 400 mL min−1, and CD26 = 1.09–1.28% from 200 to 400 mL min−1. Together, Figures 5, 6 confirm that rectangular distributors, especially RD13, are responsible for the highest maldistribution severity, while conical distributor geometries provide more stable flow uniformity across most operating conditions.

Maldistribution severity-class distribution for experimental and CFD-supported datasets.
Figure 5. Maldistribution severity-class distribution for experimental and CFD-supported datasets.
Heatmap of non-uniformity flow coefficient across distributor configurations and flow rates.
Figure 6. Heatmap of non-uniformity flow coefficient across distributor configurations and flow rates.

The differences between the experimental and CFD-supported Φ values vary in magnitude and, in some configurations, are substantial enough to influence the subsequent machine-learning decision, particularly for samples located near severity-class boundaries. Experimental data include real effects such as 3D-printing tolerance, surface roughness, flow disturbances, and measurement variability, whereas CFD-supported values depend on model assumptions, boundary conditions, and numerical formulation. Therefore, the ML model was trained using both measured and CFD-supported information so that it could learn the range of possible Φ behavior rather than depending on a single idealized source. This combined structure reduces the risk of producing decisions that are valid only for CFD conditions and improves the practical relevance of the predicted maldistribution severity.

4.2 AI and ML results

Section 4.2 presents the AI and ML results to evaluate the ability of XGBoost to predict the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, across the combined experimental-simulation dataset. Because the available number of observations per distributor configuration is limited, the configuration-level metrics in Table 5 were calculated over all available samples for each configuration and are interpreted as descriptive model-fit measures rather than independent generalization metrics.

Table 5. Configuration-level model-fit metrics for XGBoost prediction of the non-uniformity flow coefficient across the full model-development dataset.

DistributorDistributor familyData scopeR2MAERMSEMAPE (%)CVRMSE (%)
RD13RectangularExperimental0.9550.1850.2355.927.10
RD26RectangularExperimental0.9580.1320.1694.956.35
RD52RectangularExperimental0.9510.1680.2145.636.94
CDO13Conical with obstacleCFD-supported/averaged reference0.9680.0940.1214.215.40
CDO26Conical with obstacleExperimental0.9640.1010.1324.365.71
CDO52Conical with obstacleCFD-supported/averaged reference0.9660.0980.1284.185.52
CD13Conical without obstacleExperimental0.9600.1150.1494.675.88
CD26Conical without obstacleCFD-supported/averaged reference0.9700.0870.1133.965.18
CD52Conical without obstacleExperimental0.9570.1540.1975.026.43
OverallAll familiesExperimental + CFD0.9620.1260.1614.876.12

Table 5 shows that the overall combined dataset achieved strong regression performance, with R2 = 0.962, MAE = 0.126, RMSE = 0.161, MAPE = 4.87%, and CVRMSE = 6.12%, indicating that the model captured most of the non-linear relationship between distributor geometry, flow rate, data source, and Φ. At the configuration level, the best performance was obtained for CD26, with R2 = 0.970, MAE = 0.087, RMSE = 0.113, MAPE = 3.96%, and CVRMSE = 5.18%, followed by CDO13 with R2 = 0.968 and RMSE = 0.121, and CDO52 with R2 = 0.966 and RMSE = 0.128. The conical distributors generally showed lower prediction errors, with MAE values between 0.087 and 0.154 and MAPE values between 3.96% and 5.02%, reflecting their more stable flow-distribution behavior. In contrast, the rectangular distributors produced slightly higher errors, especially RD13 with MAE = 0.185, RMSE = 0.235, MAPE = 5.92%, and CVRMSE = 7.10%, and RD52 with MAE = 0.168, RMSE = 0.214, MAPE = 5.63%, and CVRMSE = 6.94%, which is consistent with their larger Φ variations and stronger maldistribution at low flow rates. These results indicate that the XGBoost model can provide a fast predictive layer for estimating distributor maldistribution across experimental and CFD-supported cases. From an engineering perspective, the low overall error is important because Φ directly reflects flow-sharing quality, which affects pressure balance, water distribution stability, and the likelihood of non-uniform convective heat-transfer behavior in compact thermal-fluid systems, as summarized in Table 5.

Figure 7 evaluates the agreement between the actual and predicted Φ values generated by the XGBoost regression model. As shown in Figure 7a, the predicted values follow the ideal 1:1 line closely over the full dataset range, confirming the strong overall performance of the model with R2 = 0.962, MAE = 0.126, RMSE = 0.161, MAPE = 4.87%, and CVRMSE = 6.12%. The full-range plot also shows that the dataset includes a few high-Φ points, particularly those associated with severe maldistribution, extending well beyond 5% and up to the highest experimental values above 30%. However, most of the samples are concentrated in the lower range, which is why Figure 7b provides a zoomed view between 0 and 5% on both axes. In this enlarged view, the majority of the experimental, CFD-VOF, and CFD-SF points remain tightly distributed around the ideal prediction line, indicating that the model was especially effective in capturing the dominant low-to-moderate maldistribution region where most practical water-flow cases occur. Thus, Figure 7 demonstrates both the broad predictive capability of the model over the complete range and its accurate resolution of the dense low-Φ region that contains most of the dataset.

Actual vs. predicted non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, using the XGBoost regression model: **(a)** overall prediction performance across the full data range; **(b)** enlarged view of the main prediction cluster within the range of 0–5%.
Figure 7. Actual vs. predicted non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, using the XGBoost regression model: (a) overall prediction performance across the full data range; (b) enlarged view of the main prediction cluster within the range of 0–5%.

Figure 8 summarizes the classification performance of the XGBoost model in predicting the maldistribution severity class. The model achieved an accuracy of 92.22%, showing that more than nine out of 10 severity labels were correctly predicted. The precision reached 92.90%, indicating that the predicted classes were highly reliable with limited false-positive classification. The recall was 92.22%, confirming that the model successfully recovered most of the true severity cases, while the F1-score of 92.36% shows a balanced classification performance between precision and recall. These close metric values demonstrate that the similar metric values indicate relatively balanced classification performance, but maintained stable performance across the four severity levels, as shown in Figure 8.

XGBoost classification performance metrics for maldistribution severity prediction.
Figure 8. XGBoost classification performance metrics for maldistribution severity prediction.

Figure 9 gives a more detailed view of the classification behavior through the confusion matrix, while Figure 10 compares the actual and predicted class distributions. In Figure 9, the model correctly classified 38 Low samples, 36 Moderate samples, 6 High samples, and 3 Severe samples. The main errors occurred between neighboring classes, including 1 Low sample predicted as Moderate, 2 Moderate samples predicted as Low, 2 Moderate samples predicted as High, 1 High sample predicted as Moderate, and 1 Severe sample predicted as High. No Low sample was predicted as High or Severe, and no Severe sample was predicted as Low or Moderate, which indicates that the model avoided extreme misclassification. Figure 10 further shows that the actual distribution contained 39 Low, 40 Moderate, 7 High, and 4 Severe samples, while the predicted distribution was 40 Low, 38 Moderate, 9 High, and 3 Severe samples. This close agreement confirms that the classifier preserved the overall severity structure of the dataset, with only small deviations of +1 for Low, −2 for Moderate, +2 for High, and −1 for Severe, as illustrated in Figures 9, 10.

XGBoost confusion matrix for maldistribution severity overall/in-sample classification performance.
Figure 9. XGBoost confusion matrix for maldistribution severity overall/in-sample classification performance.
Actual and predicted severity-class distribution for the XGBoost classification model.
Figure 10. Actual and predicted severity-class distribution for the XGBoost classification model.

The combined regression and classification results show that AI can function as a rapid surrogate layer for distributor assessment by estimating both the continuous non-uniformity coefficient and its practical severity class. This does not remove the value of CFD or experimental testing, but it reduces the need for repeated CFD runs and repeated water-flow trials during preliminary screening. For water-flow and thermal-fluid design, this is useful because the model can quickly identify distributor configurations associated with low or high flow maldistribution, helping engineers focus detailed CFD and experimental work on the most critical cases while maintaining attention to pressure balance, flow uniformity, and stable convective heat-transfer behavior.

An additional 50-sample holdout subset was drawn from the same published dataset, geometry set, and operating range but was completely excluded from model training, hyperparameter selection, and model selection; the subset was restricted to the Moderate class because this intermediate class lies between the Low and High decision boundaries and therefore provides a particularly sensitive test of class discrimination. Figure 11 addresses the need for additional validation beyond the main training stage and to demonstrate how the developed AI model performs on unseen data that were not used during model fitting. In this external validation set, all 50 samples belonged to the true Moderate severity class, and the XGBoost classifier correctly identified 47 samples as Moderate, yielding an external-class accuracy of 94.0%. Only 3 samples were misclassified, including 2 samples predicted as Low and 1 sample predicted as High, while 0 samples were predicted as Severe. This pattern is important because the errors remained limited to adjacent severity levels rather than extreme misclassification, which indicates stable class discrimination. The reason for performing this additional test was to show that the proposed model is not only fitting the available data, but can also generalize to an unseen subset in a practically meaningful way. From an engineering perspective, this strengthens confidence in using the AI model as a supportive screening tool for water-flow distributor assessment, where rapid classification of maldistribution severity can help reduce repeated CFD runs and repeated experimental checks during early thermal-fluid design evaluation, as illustrated in Figure 11.

External validation of the XGBoost classification model using independent unseen-data validation.
Figure 11. External validation of the XGBoost classification model using independent unseen-data validation.

4.3 Toward thermal systems

Figure 12 summarizes the broader engineering pathway of the proposed approach by linking the physical flow distributor, hydraulic and thermal-fluid performance indicators, experimental-CFD data generation, and AI-based prediction. The figure shows that the distributor geometry first affects flow distribution, pressure balance, and temperature-field development, which are directly connected to the non-uniformity coefficient, Φ, and to the reliability of convective heat-transfer behavior in parallel-channel water-flow systems. The central part of the figure highlights how experimental measurements and CFD outputs can be transformed into structured datasets through feature extraction and preprocessing. These data are then supplied to the XGBoost model, which supports both regression for predicting Φ and classification for assigning maldistribution severity. The final output blocks emphasize the practical value of the workflow as a fast surrogate for evaluating the studied distributor configurations, reducing repeated CFD and experimental effort within the investigated design space while supporting preliminary thermal-fluid assessment.

Integrated AI-assisted framework for flow-distribution and thermal-fluid design support.
Figure 12. Integrated AI-assisted framework for flow-distribution and thermal-fluid design support.

The proposed ML model is therefore positioned as a rapid preliminary decision-support tool for screening distributor configurations, while detailed CFD remains necessary for resolving pressure contours, secondary-flow structures, velocity profiles, and full field-level thermal-fluid behavior. The current study is limited by the relatively small size of the available experimental-simulation dataset, the use of published secondary data rather than newly generated laboratory measurements, and the restricted number of distributor geometries, flow-rate levels, and CFD-supported cases. In addition, the CFD-related values used for model comparison were available only for selected configurations and approaches, which limits the generality of the trained AI model across wider hydraulic and thermal-fluid conditions. Future work should therefore expand the dataset using additional 3D-printed distributor designs, larger flow-rate ranges, direct CFD outputs, pressure-drop data, temperature-field measurements, and heat-transfer indicators such as Nusselt number or thermal resistance. Further development may also include physics-informed learning, uncertainty quantification, and digital-twin implementation for rapid screening of water-flow and compact thermal-fluid systems.

5 Conclusions

This study developed an AI-assisted framework for predicting flow maldistribution in 3D-printed water-flow distributors using combined experimental and CFD-supported data. The experimental part of the dataset was obtained from published water-flow measurements of rectangular distributors, conical distributors with obstacle, and conical distributors without obstacle, where the non-uniformity flow coefficient, Φ, was measured under different flow rates. The simulation-supported part was taken from CFD-based comparisons involving selected distributor configurations and VOF/SF modeling approaches, allowing the dataset to include both physical measurements and numerical flow-behavior information. These data were then organized into an AI-ready format and used to develop XGBoost-based regression and classification models. The regression model predicted Φ with strong overall accuracy, achieving R2 = 0.962, MAE = 0.126, RMSE = 0.161, MAPE = 4.87%, and CVRMSE = 6.12%. At the configuration level, the lowest errors were obtained for the conical configurations, particularly CD26, with R2 = 0.970, MAE = 0.087, and RMSE = 0.113, while higher errors were observed for rectangular distributors due to their larger maldistribution variation. The classification model also performed well in assigning severity classes, achieving accuracy = 92.22%, precision = 92.90%, recall = 92.22%, and F1-score = 92.36%. The confusion matrix confirmed that most errors occurred between neighboring severity classes, with no extreme misclassification between Low and Severe classes. Overall, the results show that XGBoost can provide a fast predictive layer for estimating both the magnitude and severity of flow maldistribution, supporting early-stage screening of distributor designs and reducing reliance on repeated CFD simulations and experimental trials in compact water-flow and thermal-fluid systems.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declared that Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript. During the preparation of this manuscript, the author(s) used ChatGPT, GPT-5.5 Thinking, OpenAI, for language refinement and assistance in improving the clarity of grammar in scientific writing only. The generative AI tool was not used as an author and did not replace the author(s)' scientific judgment, data analysis, interpretation, or final decision-making. All AI-assisted content was reviewed, edited, verified for factual accuracy, and checked by the author(s), who take full responsibility for the final content of the manuscript.

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Footnotes

Edited by: Modesto Pérez-Sánchez, Universitat Politècnica de València, Spain

Reviewed by: Abhinav Rajan, University of Pretoria, South Africa

Amjed Abdulelah, University of Kufa, Iraq

Statements

Conflict of interest

The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Funding

The author(s) declared that financial support was not received for this work and/or its publication.

Data availability

Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. This data can be found here: the datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available in Data in Brief repository, http://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2019.103799.

Author contributions

NM: Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing. JS: Writing – review & editing, Conceptualization. ZA-S: Writing – review & editing, Conceptualization. AA-Z: Writing – review & editing, Conceptualization. LA-H: Formal analysis, Validation, Data curation, Methodology, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Visualization. AO: Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing.

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Citation

Mahdi, N. M., et al. (2026). Prediction of flow maldistribution in 3D-printed water-flow distributors for thermal-fluid system design. Frontiers in Water, Volume 8. https://doi.org/
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Copyright © 2026 Mahdi, Sherza, Al-Sharify, Abdul-Zahra, Al-Haddad and Ogaili.

License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

*Correspondence: Luttfi A. Al-Haddad

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